Interconnected evolution of epidemic and public vaccination opinion

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Abstract

A new model of interconnected coevolving SIRS epidemic and public vaccination opinion pattern is presented. The underlying two-layer network contains strata corresponding to physical interactions in real space and social communications. The layer corresponding to physical interactions is constructed based on data on a real network representing communications between high school students. The evolution of people vaccination attitude is described using an Ising-type model. The model describes a non-trivial dependence of resulting epidemic dynamics on (1) noise amplitude, (2) initial opinion pattern and (3) influence of external information.

About the authors

A. V Leonidov

Р. N. Lebedev Physical Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: letters@kapitza.ras.ru

S. B Vasilyev

Р. N. Lebedev Physical Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: letters@kapitza.ras.ru

E. E Vasilyeva

Р. N. Lebedev Physical Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: letters@kapitza.ras.ru

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