Abstract
The paper describes an approach to solving the problem of predicting the development of communicative situations based on information received from experts. The tool for structuring processes is the basic model developed by the author – the morphology of a wide class of communicative situations. A visual programming language is used to build and train a simulation model of the situation being studied. At the first stage of creating and training the simulator, the expert enters the parameter values of several initial phases into the system. Calculation of further developments of events, assessment and classification of system states is carried out using mathematical recognition methods, combinatorial methods of analysis, operations research, and optimal control. Confirmation of calculations is achieved by comparing the results obtained from the simulator with real changes in the parameters of the processes being studied over time.